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The article below impressed me quite much as another view
of the crisis in the Moslim world. Some people may like it, some people may not,
but it's worth a reading.
David
A View from the Eye of the Storm A talk delivered by Haim Harari
[a theoretical physicist] (former president of the Weizman institute) at a
meeting of the International Advisory Board of a large multi-national
corporation by Haim Harari (*1) April, 2004
As you know, I
usually provide the scientific and technological "entertainment" in our
meetings, but, on this occasion, our Chairman suggested that I present my
own personal view on events in the part of the world from which I come. I
have never been and I will never be a Government official and I have no
privileged information. My perspective is entirely based on what I see, on
what I read and on the fact that my family has lived in this region for
almost 200 years. You may regard my views as those of the proverbial taxi
driver, which you are supposed to question, when you visit a
country.
I could have shared with you some fascinating facts and some
personal thoughts about the Israeli-Arab conflict. However, I will touch
upon it only in passing. I prefer to devote most of my remarks to the
broader picture of the region and its place in world events. I refer to the
entire area between Pakistan and Morocco, which is predominantly Arab,
predominantly Moslem, but includes many non-Arab and also significant
non-Moslem minorities.
Why do I put aside Israel and its own immediate
neighborhood? Because Israel and any problems related to it, in spite of
what you might read or hear in the world media, is not the central issue,
and has never been the central issue in the upheaval in the region. Yes,
there is a 100 year-old Israeli-Arab conflict, but it is not where the main
show is. The millions who died in the Iran-Iraq war had nothing to do with
Israel. The mass murder happening right now in Sudan, where the Arab Moslem
regime is massacring its black Christian citizens, has nothing to do with
Israel. The frequent reports from Algeria about the murders of hundreds of
civilian in one village or another by other Algerians have nothing to do
with Israel. Saddam Hussein did not invade Kuwait, endangered Saudi Arabia
and butchered his own people because of Israel. Egypt did not use poison gas
against Yemen in the 60's because of Israel. Assad the Father did not kill
tens of thousands of his own citizens in one week in El Hamma in Syria
because of Israel. The Taliban control of Afghanistan and the civil war
there had nothing to do with Israel. The Libyan blowing up of the Pan-Am
flight had nothing to do with Israel, and I could go on and on and
on.
The root of the trouble is that this entire Moslem region is totally
dysfunctional, by any standard of the word, and would have been so even if
Israel would have joined the Arab league and an independent Palestine would
have existed for 100 years. The 22 member countries of the Arab league, from
Mauritania to the Gulf States, have a total population of 300 millions,
larger than the US and almost as large as the EU before its expansion. They
have a land area larger than either the US or all of Europe. These 22
countries, with all their oil and natural resources, have a combined GDP
smaller than that of Netherlands plus Belgium and equal to half of the GDP
of California alone. Within this meager GDP, the gaps between rich and poor
are beyond belief and too many of the rich made their money not by
succeeding in business, but by being corrupt rulers. The social status of
women is far below what it was in the Western World 150 years ago. Human
rights are below any reasonable standard, in spite of the grotesque fact
that Libya was elected Chair of the UN Human Rights commission. According to
a report prepared by a committee of Arab intellectuals and published under
the auspices of the U.N., the number of books translated by the entire Arab
world is much smaller than what little Greece alone translates. The total
number of scientific publications of 300 million Arabs is less than that of
6 million Israelis. Birth rates in the region are very high, increasing the
poverty, the social gaps and the cultural decline. And all of this is
happening in a region, which only 30 years ago, was believed to be the next
wealthy part of the world, and in a Moslem area, which developed, at some
point in history, one of the most advanced cultures in the world.
It
is fair to say that this creates an unprecedented breeding ground for cruel
dictators, terror networks, fanaticism, incitement, suicide murders and
general decline. It is also a fact that almost everybody in the region
blames this situation on the United States, on Israel, on Western
Civilization, on Judaism and Christianity, on anyone and anything, except
themselves.
Do I say all of this with the satisfaction of someone
discussing the failings of his enemies? On the contrary, I firmly believe
that the world would have been a much better place and my own neighborhood
would have been much more pleasant and peaceful, if things were
different.
I should also say a word about the millions of decent, honest,
good people who are either devout Moslems or are not very religious but grew
up in Moslem families. They are double victims of an outside world, which
now develops Islamophobia and of their own environment, which breaks their
heart by being totally dysfunctional. The problem is that the vast silent
majority of these Moslems are not part of the terror and of the incitement
but they also do not stand up against it. They become accomplices, by
omission, and this applies to political leaders, intellectuals, business
people and many others. Many of them can certainly tell right from wrong,
but are afraid to express their views.
The events of the last few
years have amplified four issues, which have always existed, but have never
been as rampant as in the present upheaval in the region. These are the four
main pillars of the current World Conflict, or perhaps we should already
refer to it as "the undeclared World War III". I have no better name for the
present situation. A few more years may pass before everybody acknowledges
that it is a World War, but we are already well into it.
The first
element is the suicide murder. Suicide murders are not a new invention but
they have been made popular, if I may use this _expression_, only lately. Even
after September 11, it seems that most of the Western World does not yet
understand this weapon. It is a very potent psychological weapon. Its real
direct impact is relatively minor. The total number of casualties from
hundreds of suicide murders within Israel in the last three years is much
smaller than those due to car accidents. September 11 was quantitatively
much less lethal than many earthquakes. More people die from AIDS in one day
in Africa than all the Russians who died in the hands of Chechnya-based
Moslem suicide murderers since that conflict started. Saddam killed every
month more people than all those who died from suicide murders since the
Coalition occupation of Iraq.
So what is all the fuss about suicide
killings? It creates headlines. It is spectacular. It is frightening. It is
a very cruel death with bodies dismembered and horrible severe lifelong
injuries to many of the wounded. It is always shown on television in great
detail. One such murder, with the help of hysterical media coverage, can
destroy the tourism industry of a country for quite a while, as it did in
Bali and in Turkey.
But the real fear comes from the undisputed fact that
no defense and no preventive measures can succeed against a determined
suicide murderer. This has not yet penetrated the thinking of the Western
World. The U.S. and Europe are constantly improving their defense against
the last murder, not the next one. We may arrange for the best airport
security in the world. But if you want to murder by suicide, you do not have
to board a plane in order to explode yourself and kill many people. Who
could stop a suicide murder in the midst of the crowded line waiting to be
checked by the airport metal detector? How about the lines to the check-in
counters in a busy travel period? Put a metal detector in front of every
train station in Spain and the terrorists will get the buses. Protect the
buses and they will explode in movie theaters, concert halls, supermarkets,
shopping malls, schools and hospitals. Put guards in front of every concert
hall and there will always be a line of people to be checked by the guards
and this line will be the target, not to speak of killing the guards
themselves. You can somewhat reduce your vulnerability by preventive and
defensive measures and by strict border controls but not eliminate it and
definitely not win the war in a defensive way. And it is a war!
What
is behind the suicide murders? Money, power and cold-blooded murderous
incitement, nothing else. It has nothing to do with true fanatic religious
beliefs. No Moslem preacher has ever blown himself up. No son of an Arab
politician or religious leader has ever blown himself. No relative of anyone
influential has done it. Wouldn't you expect some of the religious leaders
to do it themselves, or to talk their sons into doing it, if this is truly a
supreme act of religious fervor? Aren't they interested in the benefits of
going to Heaven? Instead, they send outcast women, na×?ve children, retarded
people and young incited hotheads. They promise them the delights, mostly
sexual, of the next world, and pay their families handsomely after the
supreme act is performed and enough innocent people are dead.
Suicide
murders also have nothing to do with poverty and despair. The poorest region
in the world, by far, is Africa. It never happens there. There are numerous
desperate people in the world, in different cultures, countries and
continents. Desperation does not provide anyone with explosives,
reconnaissance and transportation. There was certainly more despair in
Saddam's Iraq then in Paul Bremmer's Iraq, and no one exploded himself. A
suicide murder is simply a horrible, vicious weapon of cruel, inhuman,
cynical, well-funded terrorists, with no regard to human life, including the
life of their fellow countrymen, but with very high regard to their own
affluent well-being and their hunger for power.
The only way to fight
this new "popular" weapon is identical to the only way in which you fight
organized crime or pirates on the high seas: the offensive way. Like in the
case of organized crime, it is crucial that the forces on the offensive be
united and it is crucial to reach the top of the crime pyramid. You cannot
eliminate organized crime by arresting the little drug dealer in the street
corner. You must go after the head of the "Family".
If part of the
public supports it, others tolerate it, many are afraid of it and some try
to explain it away by poverty or by a miserable childhood, organized crime
will thrive and so will terrorism. The United States understands this now,
after September 11. Russia is beginning to understand it. Turkey understands
it well. I am very much afraid that most of Europe still does not understand
it. Unfortunately, it seems that Europe will understand it only after
suicide murders will arrive in Europe in a big way. In my humble opinion,
this will definitely happen. The Spanish trains and the Istanbul bombings
are only the beginning. The unity of the Civilized World in fighting this
horror is absolutely indispensable. Until Europe wakes up, this unity will
not be achieved.
The second ingredient is words, more precisely lies.
Words can be lethal. They kill people. It is often said that politicians,
diplomats and perhaps also lawyers and business people must sometimes lie,
as part of their professional life. But the norms of politics and diplomacy
are childish, in comparison with the level of incitement and total absolute
deliberate fabrications, which have reached new heights in the region we are
talking about. An incredible number of people in the Arab world believe that
September 11 never happened, or was an American provocation or, even better,
a Jewish plot.
You all remember the Iraqi Minister of Information,
Mr. Mouhamad Said al-Sahaf and his press conferences when the US forces were
already inside Baghdad. Disinformation at time of war is an accepted tactic.
But to stand, day after day, and to make such preposterous statements, known
to everybody to be lies, without even being ridiculed in your own milieu,
can only happen in this region. Mr. Sahaf eventually became a popular icon
as a court jester, but this did not stop some allegedly respectable
newspapers from giving him equal time. It also does not prevent the Western
press from giving credence, every day, even now, to similar liars. After
all, if you want to be an antisemite, there are subtle ways of doing it. You
do not have to claim that the holocaust never happened and that the Jewish
temple in Jerusalem never existed. But millions of Moslems are told by their
leaders that this is the case. When these same leaders make other
statements, the Western media report them as if they could be
true.
It is a daily occurrence that the same people, who finance, arm and
dispatch suicide murderers, condemn the act in English in front of western
TV cameras, talking to a world audience, which even partly believes them. It
is a daily routine to hear the same leader making opposite statements in
Arabic to his people and in English to the rest of the world. Incitement by
Arab TV, accompanied by horror pictures of mutilated bodies, has become a
powerful weapon of those who lie, distort and want to destroy everything.
Little children are raised on deep hatred and on admiration of so-called
martyrs, and the Western World does not notice it because its own TV sets
are mostly tuned to soap operas and game shows. I recommend to you, even
though most of you do not understand Arabic, to watch Al Jazeera, from time
to time. You will not believe your own eyes.
But words also work in
other ways, more subtle. A demonstration in Berlin, carrying banners
supporting Saddam's regime and featuring three-year old babies dressed as
suicide murderers, is defined by the press and by political leaders as a
"peace demonstration". You may support or oppose the Iraq war, but to refer
to fans of Saddam, Arafat or Bin Laden as peace activists is a bit too much.
A woman walks into an Israeli restaurant in mid-day, eats, observes families
with old people and children eating their lunch in the adjacent tables and
pays the bill. She then blows herself up, killing 20 people, including many
children, with heads and arms rolling around in the restaurant. She is
called "martyr" by several Arab leaders and "activist" by the European
press. Dignitaries condemn the act but visit her bereaved family and the
money flows.
There is a new game in town: The actual murderer is called
"the military wing", the one who pays him, equips him and sends him is now
called "the political wing" and the head of the operation is called the
"spiritual leader". There are numerous other examples of such Orwellian
nomenclature, used every day not only by terror chiefs but also by Western
media. These words are much more dangerous than many people realize. They
provide an emotional infrastructure for atrocities. It was Joseph Goebels
who said that if you repeat a lie often enough, people will believe it. He
is now being outperformed by his successors.
The third aspect is
money. Huge amounts of money, which could have solved many social problems
in this dysfunctional part of the world, are channeled into three concentric
spheres supporting death and murder. In the inner circle are the terrorists
themselves. The money funds their travel, explosives, hideouts and permanent
search for soft vulnerable targets. They are surrounded by a second wider
circle of direct supporters, planners, commanders, preachers, all of whom
make a living, usually a very comfortable living, by serving as terror
infrastructure. Finally, we find the third circle of so-called religious,
educational and welfare organizations, which actually do some good, feed the
hungry and provide some schooling, but brainwash a new generation with
hatred, lies and ignorance. This circle operates mostly through mosques,
madrasas and other religious establishments but also through inciting
electronic and printed media. It is this circle that makes sure that women
remain inferior, that democracy is unthinkable and that exposure to the
outside world is minimal. It is also that circle that leads the way in
blaming everybody outside the Moslem world, for the miseries of the
region.
Figuratively speaking, this outer circle is the guardian, which
makes sure that the people look and listen inwards to the inner circle of
terror and incitement, rather than to the world outside. Some parts of this
same outer circle actually operate as a result of fear from, or blackmail
by, the inner circles. The horrifying added factor is the high birth rate.
Half of the population of the Arab world is under the age of 20, the most
receptive age to incitement, guaranteeing two more generations of blind
hatred.
Of the three circles described above, the inner circles are
primarily financed by terrorist states like Iran and Syria, until recently
also by Iraq and Libya and earlier also by some of the Communist regimes.
These states, as well as the Palestinian Authority, are the safe havens of
the wholesale murder vendors. The outer circle is largely financed by Saudi
Arabia, but also by donations from certain Moslem communities in the United
States and Europe and, to a smaller extent, by donations of European
Governments to various NGO's and by certain United Nations organizations,
whose goals may be noble, but they are infested and exploited by agents of
the outer circle. The Saudi regime, of course, will be the next victim of
major terror, when the inner circle will explode into the outer circle. The
Saudis are beginning to understand it, but they fight the inner circles,
while still financing the infrastructure at the outer circle.
Some of
the leaders of these various circles live very comfortably on their loot.
You meet their children in the best private schools in Europe, not in the
training camps of suicide murderers. The Jihad "soldiers" join packaged
death tours to Iraq and other hotspots, while some of their leaders ski in
Switzerland. Mrs. Arafat, who lives in Paris with her daughter, receives
tens of thousands Dollars per month from the allegedly bankrupt Palestinian
Authority while a typical local ringleader of the Al-Aksa brigade, reporting
to Arafat, receives only a cash payment of a couple of hundred dollars, for
performing murders at the retail level.
The fourth element of the
current world conflict is the total breaking of all laws. The civilized
world believes in democracy, the rule of law, including international law,
human rights, free speech and free press, among other liberties. There are
na×?ve old-fashioned habits such as respecting religious sites and symbols,
not using ambulances and hospitals for acts of war, avoiding the mutilation
of dead bodies and not using children as human shields or human bombs. Never
in history, not even in the Nazi period, was there such total disregard of
all of the above as we observe now. Every student of political science
debates how you prevent an anti-democratic force from winning a democratic
election and abolishing democracy. Other aspects of a civilized society must
also have limitations. Can a policeman open fire on someone trying to kill
him? Can a government listen to phone conversations of terrorists and drug
dealers? Does free speech protects you when you shout "fire" in a crowded
theater? Should there be death penalty, for deliberate multiple murders?
These are the old-fashioned dilemmas. But now we have an entire new
set.
Do you raid a mosque, which serves as a terrorist ammunition
storage? Do you return fire, if you are attacked from a hospital? Do you
storm a church taken over by terrorists who took the priests hostages? Do
you search every ambulance after a few suicide murderers use ambulances to
reach their targets? Do you strip every woman because one pretended to be
pregnant and carried a suicide bomb on her belly? Do you shoot back at
someone trying to kill you, standing deliberately behind a group of
children? Do you raid terrorist headquarters, hidden in a mental hospital?
Do you shoot an arch-murderer who deliberately moves from one location to
another, always surrounded by children? All of these happen daily in Iraq
and in the Palestinian areas. What do you do? Well, you do not want to face
the dilemma. But it cannot be avoided.
Suppose, for the sake of
discussion, that someone would openly stay in a well-known address in
Teheran, hosted by the Iranian Government and financed by it, executing one
atrocity after another in Spain or in France, killing hundreds of innocent
people, accepting responsibility for the crimes, promising in public TV
interviews to do more of the same, while the Government of Iran issues
public condemnations of his acts but continues to host him, invite him to
official functions and treat him as a great dignitary. I leave it to you as
homework to figure out what Spain or France would have done, in such a
situation.
The problem is that the civilized world is still having
illusions about the rule of law in a totally lawless environment. It is
trying to play ice hockey by sending a ballerina ice-skater into the rink or
to knock out a heavyweight boxer by a chess player. In the same way that no
country has a law against cannibals eating its prime minister, because such
an act is unthinkable, international law does not address killers shooting
from hospitals, mosques and ambulances, while being protected by their
Government or society. International law does not know how to handle someone
who sends children to throw stones, stands behind them and shoots with
immunity and cannot be arrested because he is sheltered by a Government.
International law does not know how to deal with a leader of murderers who
is royally and comfortably hosted by a country, which pretends to condemn
his acts or just claims to be too weak to arrest him. The amazing thing is
that all of these crooks demand protection under international law and
define all those who attack them as war criminals, with some Western media
repeating the allegations. The good news is that all of this is temporary,
because the evolution of international law has always adapted itself to
reality. The punishment for suicide murder should be death or arrest before
the murder, not during and not after. After every world war, the rules of
international law have changed and the same will happen after the present
one. But during the twilight zone, a lot of harm can be done.
The
picture I described here is not pretty. What can we do about it? In the short
run, only fight and win. In the long run - only educate the next generation
and open it to the world. The inner circles can and must be destroyed by
force. The outer circle cannot be eliminated by force. Here we need financial
starvation of the organizing elite, more power to women, more education,
counter propaganda, boycott whenever feasible and access to Western media,
internet and the international scene. Above all, we need a total absolute
unity and determination of the civilized world against all three circles of
evil.
Allow me, for a moment, to depart from my alleged role as a taxi
driver and return to science. When you have a malignant tumor, you may
remove the tumor itself surgically. You may also starve it by preventing new
blood from reaching it from other parts of the body, thereby preventing new
"supplies" from expanding the tumor. If you want to be sure, it is best to
do both.
But before you fight and win, by force or otherwise, you have to
realize that you are in a war, and this may take Europe a few more years. In
order to win, it is necessary to first eliminate the terrorist regimes, so
that no Government in the world will serve as a safe haven for these people.
I do not want to comment here on whether the American-led attack on Iraq was
justified from the point of view of weapons of mass destruction or any other
pre-war argument, but I can look at the post-war map of Western Asia. Now
that Afghanistan, Iraq and Libya are out, two and a half terrorist states
remain: Iran, Syria and Lebanon, the latter being a Syrian colony. Perhaps
Sudan should be added to the list. As a result of the conquest of
Afghanistan and Iraq, both Iran and Syria are now totally surrounded by
territories unfriendly to them. Iran is encircled by Afghanistan, by the
Gulf States, Iraq and the Moslem republics of the former Soviet Union. Syria
is surrounded by Turkey, Iraq, Jordan and Israel. This is a significant
strategic change and it applies strong pressure on the terrorist countries.
It is not surprising that Iran is so active in trying to incite a Shiite
uprising in Iraq. I do not know if the American plan was actually to
encircle both Iran and Syria, but that is the resulting situation.
In
my humble opinion, the number one danger to the world today is Iran and its
regime. It definitely has ambitions to rule vast areas and to expand in all
directions. It has an ideology, which claims supremacy over Western culture.
It is ruthless. It has proven that it can execute elaborate terrorist acts
without leaving too many traces, using Iranian Embassies. It is clearly
trying to develop Nuclear Weapons. Its so-called moderates and conservatives
play their own virtuoso version of the "good-cop versus bad-cop" game. Iran
sponsors Syrian terrorism, it is certainly behind much of the action in
Iraq, it is fully funding the Hizbulla and, through it, the Palestinian
Hamas and Islamic Jihad, it performed acts of terror at least in Europe and
in South America and probably also in Uzbekhistan and Saudi Arabia and it
truly leads a multi-national terror consortium, which includes, as minor
players, Syria, Lebanon and certain Shiite elements in Iraq. Nevertheless,
most European countries still trade with Iran, try to appease it and refuse
to read the clear signals.
In order to win the war it is also necessary
to dry the financial resources of the terror conglomerate. It is pointless
to try to understand the subtle differences between the Sunni terror of Al
Qaida and Hamas and the Shiite terror of Hizbulla, Sadr and other Iranian
inspired enterprises. When it serves their business needs, all of them
collaborate beautifully.
It is crucial to stop Saudi and other financial
support of the outer circle, which is the fertile breeding ground of terror.
It is important to monitor all donations from the Western World to Islamic
organizations, to monitor the finances of international relief organizations
and to react with forceful economic measures to any small sign of financial
aid to any of the three circles of terrorism. It is also important to act
decisively against the campaign of lies and fabrications and to monitor
those Western media who collaborate with it out of naivety, financial
interests or ignorance.
Above all, never surrender to terror. No one will
ever know whether the recent elections in Spain would have yielded a
different result, if not for the train bombings a few days earlier. But it
really does not matter. What matters is that the terrorists believe that
they caused the result and that they won by driving Spain out of Iraq. The
Spanish story will surely end up being extremely costly to other European
countries, including France, who is now expelling inciting preachers and
forbidding veils and including others who sent troops to Iraq. In the long
run, Spain itself will pay even more.
Is the solution a democratic Arab
world? If by democracy we mean free elections but also free press, free
speech, a functioning judicial system, civil liberties, equality to women,
free international travel, exposure to international media and ideas, laws
against racial incitement and against defamation, and avoidance of lawless
behavior regarding hospitals, places of worship and children, then yes,
democracy is the solution. If democracy is just free elections, it is likely
that the most fanatic regime will be elected, the one whose incitement and
fabrications are the most inflammatory. We have seen it already in Algeria
and, to a certain extent, in Turkey. It will happen again, if the ground is
not prepared very carefully. On the other hand, a certain transition
democracy, as in Jordan, may be a better temporary solution, paving the way
for the real thing, perhaps in the same way that an immediate sudden
democracy did not work in Russia and would not have worked in
China.
I have no doubt that the civilized world will prevail. But the
longer it takes us to understand the new landscape of this war, the more
costly and painful the victory will be. Europe, more than any other region,
is the key. Its understandable recoil from wars, following the horrors of
World War II, may cost thousands of additional innocent lives, before the
tide will turn. ________ (*1) Professor HAIM HARARI, a theoretical
physicist, is the Chair, Davidson Institute of Science Education, and Former
President, from 1988 to 2001, of the Weizmann Institute of Science. During
his years as President of the Institute, it entered numerous new scientific
fields and projects, built 47 new buildings, raised one Billion Dollars in
philanthropic money, hired more than half of its current tenured Professors
and became one of the highest royalty-earning academic organizations in the
world.
Throughout all his adult life, he has made major contributions to
three different fields: Particle Physics Research on the international
scene, Science Education in the Israeli school system and Science
Administration and Policy Making.
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