[Xmca-l] COVID-19 Forecasting Tournament

[Anthony Barra]

"Another chance to discover: do i know as much as i thought about the
world, including covid19? Sign up by 5pm ET, 4/27 for a forecasting
tournament to compete against soft benchmarks (chimps) & tough ones
(superforecasters)" - Phil Tetlock (superforecaster)

As a casual reader of this listserv, I can only conclude: Somebody from
this group is gonna win, aren't they?  (*I'm a very good predictor by the
way . . . )

"EXPERIENCE OUR COVID-19 FORECASTING STUDY"

Curious about how you size up against world-class problem-solvers and
forecasters – and about how much better your can get?

Please join our coronavirus forecasting tournament that will let you
compare your performance against a range of benchmarks, from dart-tossing
chimps to seasoned professionals and Superforecasters."
https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://www.gjp2.org/upenn__;!!Mih3wA!UlBe6PxFxP8uVMleh4-NQ8dF1xWFNhTeOhQbL2zgWdHjfSXxPMYC_ubaqzDHXizGAvsuwA$ 

---> How much fun does this sound! <---

The mix of intelligence, confidence, certainty, and humility that is
regularly on display here tells me: somebody from this group is gonna win;
the odds are against it being me, but someone here can do it.

Tell me I'm wrong . . .

Or, tell me . . . who in this group would you say has a great shot at
winning (and therefore should enter!)

???

Anthony

*good stuff from your friend Andy and others here: https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://tiny.cc/33rpnz__;!!Mih3wA!UlBe6PxFxP8uVMleh4-NQ8dF1xWFNhTeOhQbL2zgWdHjfSXxPMYC_ubaqzDHXiwFKajCBA$ 
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